LPG Monitor as of September 2020


LPG Contract Price (CP)

LPG Contract Price (CP), commonly called the “Saudi CP” is the primary driver of LPG pricing in the Far East including the Philippines . It is an international price benchmark set at the beginning of each month by Saudi Arabia’s state - owned oil company Saudi Aramco.

Aramco's CPs, which set the price of LPG lifted from the Saudi ports of Yanbu, Ras Tanura and Ju'aymah under term supply contracts, are closely watched by the market as they tend to set a base level for LPG pricing for most markets East of Suez.

The DOE refer to the LPG/Saudi CP and forex monthly average changes in determining/monitoring the price adjustments of LPG in the domestic market. Following the timing of the monthly changes in CP, domestic price of LPG also varies every first day of the month and remain constant through the whole month.

Like all other petroleum products, the Philippines has no influence over the LPG CP as the country’s domestic requirement is small versus the world demand.

For the month of September 2020, LPG Contract Price has increased by US$ 7.00/MT to US$ 358.00/MT, from US$ 351.00/MT last month.

International LPG Market Development

  • Saudi Aramco has set the September propane term contract price at $365/mt, unchanged from August, and the butane at $355/mt, up $10/mt from August at $345/mt. The CPs were in the lower end of traders' expectations. Traders had expected a wide range for the September CPs, with most expecting propane to be around $5-$10/mt above the September CP swaps, and butane about $8-10/mt below propane.
  • On Aug. 27, traders gave a wide range of expectations for the Saudi Aramco September propane and butane CPs of around or above the August CPs, $365/mt for propane and $345 for butane, on concerns about the impact of Hurricane Laura on oil, gas and refining production in the USGC.
  • However, Asia's LPG market was more at ease on 28 August after worries over production disruptions at NGLs facilities in Mont Belvieu, Texas dissipated as Hurricane Laura followed an eastern track, sparing the region torrential rain and catastrophic wind. Hurricane Laura made landfall at the border of Texas and Louisiana late Aug. 27, forcing several LPG export terminals and offshore production platforms to shut down operations.
  • US LPG exports to Europe and the Mediterranean were lower in August as demand fell on the back of full storage and increasing market length; thus, most US volumes are expected to find a home in East Asia rather than Europe.
  • US remains the top LPG supplier to China. China imported 1.54 million mt of LPG in July, down 23% year on year and 7.6% lower on the month. Increased domestic output, high inventory, together with weak seasonal demand were believed to have discouraged imports in July, Platts noted.

Domestic Prices      

Oil companies increased the price of LPG effective 01 September 2020 by P0.15-P0.18/kg or about P1.65-/P1.98 per 11-kg cylinder. Auto LPG likewise increased by P0.10/liter.
 
As of 01 September 2020, household LPG in Metro Manila ranges from P552.00-782.00 per 11-kilogram cylinder.

Shown below are the retail prices of 11 Kg. Household LPG
in Metro Manila from January 2019 to September 2020

Year Domestic
Price
Adjustment/Kg.
Increase (-Decrease)
2019
January 543.00-730.00 0.00
February 576.00-755.00 3.88
March 608.00-785.00 2.90
April 615.60-800.00 1.25
May 615.60-798.00 -0.20
June 589.00-750.00 -6.25
July 550.00-695.00 -3.36-3.40
August 550.00-695.00 0.00
September 550.00-695.00 0.00
October 575.00-737.00 4.50
November 594.00-795.00 0.30
December 594.00-745.64 0.25
2020
January 677.05-828.00 7.55
February 655.00-778.00 -2.20
March 611.00-795.00 -3.90
April 501.00-770.00 -9.60 to -10.70
May 536.00-854.00 5.80
June 533.00-854.00 -0.28
July 560.00-780.00 0.50
August 562.00-780.00 0.15
September 552.00-782.00 0.15-0.18
Note: Prices for September are estimates

For more information, call the Department of Energy:
Pricing: 840-2187
LPG: 840-2130
Fuels: 840-5669
SMS: (0915) 4469421
Email: [email protected]
Website: www.doe.gov.ph

LPG Price Monitor for the month of August 2020


LPG Contract Price (CP)

LPG Contract Price (CP), commonly called the “ Saudi CP” is the primary driver of LPG pricing in the Far East including the Philippines . It is an international price benchmark set at the beginning of each month by Saudi Arabia’s state - owned oil company Saudi Aramco.

Aramco's CPs, which set the price of LPG lifted from the Saudi ports of Yanbu, Ras Tanura and Ju'aymah under term supply contracts, are closely watched by the market as they tend to set a base level for LPG pricing for most markets East of Suez.

The DOE refer to the LPG/Saudi CP and forex monthly average changes in determining/monitoring the price adjustments of LPG in the domestic market. Following the timing of the monthly changes in CP, domestic price of LPG also vary every first day of the month and remain constant through out the whole month.

Like all other petroleum products, the Philippines has no influence over the LPG CP as the country’s domestic requirement is small versus the world demand.

For the month of August 2020, LPG Contract Price has increased by US$ 5.00/MT to US$ 351.00/MT, from US$ 346.00/MT last month.

International LPG Market Development

  • Saudi Aramco set the August propane term contract price at $365/mt and the butane CP at $345/mt, both up $5/mt from July.
  • August CP was in the mid-range of market expectations as traders had expected a wide range for the August CPs, with propane seen between $340/mt and $380/mt and butane about $20/mt below propane.
  • Supply and demand for propane is seen to be balanced as there is no great demand while supply is thin, Platts noted. It further added that rising demand for butane in Asia would likely start drawing supply away from Europe, where US LPG volumes mostly headed in the past few months, and thus would lead tons of LPG moving over the Pacific instead.
  • Some Asian refinery steam crackers plan to use LPG as alternate feedstock to naphtha through September, after acquiring cargoes when LPG was at steep discounts to naphtha.
  • Asia is amply supplied with Western and Middle East LPG.

Domestic Prices      

Oil companies increased the price of LPG effective 01 August 2020 by P0.15/kg or about P1.65/11-kg cylinder. Auto LPG likewise increased by P0.10/liter.
 
As of 01 August 2020, household LPG in Metro Manila ranges from P562.00-782.00 per 11-kilogram cylinder.

Shown below are the retail prices of 11 Kg. Household LPG
in Metro Manila from January 2019 to August 2020

Year Domestic
Price
Adjustment/Kg.
Increase (-Decrease)
2019
January 543.00-730.00 0.00
February 576.00-755.00 3.88
March 608.00-785.00 2.90
April 615.60-800.00 1.25
May 615.60-798.00 -0.20
June 589.00-750.00 -6.25
July 550.00-695.00 -3.36-3.40
August 550.00-695.00 0.00
September 550.00-695.00 0.00
October 575.00-737.00 4.50
November 594.00-795.00 0.30
December 594.00-745.64 0.25
2020
January 677.05-828.00 7.55
February 655.00-778.00 -2.20
March 611.00-795.00 -3.90
April 501.00-770.00 -9.60 to -10.70
May 536.00-854.00 5.80
June 533.00-854.00 -0.28
July 560.00-780.00 0.50
August 562.00-782.00 0.15
Note: Prices for August are estimates

For more information, call the Department of Energy:
Pricing: 840-2187
LPG: 840-2130
Fuels: 840-5669
SMS: (0915) 4469421
Email: [email protected]
Website: www.doe.gov.ph

 

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