LPG Price Monitor as of 05 March 2018

LPG Contract Price (CP)

LPG Contract Price (CP), commonly called the “Saudi CP” is the primary driver of LPG pricing in the Far East including the Philippines.  It is an international price benchmark set at the beginning of each month by Saudi Arabia’s state-owned oil company Saudi Aramco

The DOE refer to the LPG/Saudi CP and forex monthly average changes in determining/ monitoring the price adjustments of LPG in the domestic market.  Following the timing of the monthly changes in CP, domestic price of LPG also vary every first day of the month and remain constant throughout the whole month.

Like all other petroleum products, the Philippines has no influence over the LPG CP as the country’s domestic requirement is very small versus the world demand.

For the month of March, LPG Contract Price decreased by US$41.50/MT to US$469.50/MT, from US$511/MT a month ago.

International LPG Market Development

  • The March propane CP is below traders’ expectations of $485/MT, while the butane CP is within traders’ positions of $455-$475/MT.
  • The region is well supplied with flagging demand.  Saudi Aramco, Qatar Petroleum and Iran cargoes are adding supply to the region.
  • However, demand is recovering, led by China.  Cooler temperatures and a switch to using LPG from natural gas bolstered LPG imports since January. With China returning from the long Lunar New Year break and most PDH plants returning from maintenance in March, LPG demand is expected to gradually recover as seen in the Asia spot market, Platts noted.
  • Demand from Japan remained weak even during winter, but Asia is seeing growing demand from Indonesia and India.
  • Soft LPG prices have kept propane and butane at steep discounts to naphtha since mid-2017, encouraging more North Asian petrochemical makers to switch to LPG as alternate feedstock.

Domestic Prices      

LPG players implemented a price rollback, starting 01 March 2018, by P1.65 to P2.00 per kilogram or about P18.00-P22.00 per 11-kg cylinder.

As of 06 February 2018, household LPG in Metro Manila ranges from P517.00 to P742.00 per 11-kilogram cylinder.

 

For more information, call the Department of Energy:
Pricing: 840-2187
LPG: 840-2130
Fuels: 840-5669
SMS: (0915) 4469421
Email: [email protected]
Website: www.doe.gov.ph

 

LPG Price Monitor as of 06 February 2018

LPG Contract Price (CP)

LPG Contract Price (CP), commonly called the “Saudi CP” is the primary driver of LPG pricing in the Far East including the Philippines. It is an international price benchmark set at the beginning of each month by Saudi Arabia’s state-owned oil company Saudi Aramco.

The DOE refer to the LPG/Saudi CP and forex monthly average changes in determining/monitoring the price adjustments of LPG in the domestic market. Following the timing of the monthly changes in CP, domestic price of LPG also vary every first day of the month and remain constant throughout the whole month.  

Like all other petroleum products, the Philippines has no influence over the LPG CP as the country’s domestic requirement is very small versus the world demand.

For the month of February, LPG Contract Price decreased by US$65/MT to US$511/MT, from US$576/MT a month ago.

International LPG Market Development

  • Global markets for LPG have repeatedly defied expectations about seasonal patterns in supply and demand, reversing the usual script by strengthening in summer and weakening in winter, just when prices are typically at their annual peak.
  • Across the US, Europe and Asia, those patterns have been fueled by low stocks and high prices in the US during the summer months, followed by weak winter heating demand in key consumer markets, and a closed arbitrage from Europe to the US for gasoline. These has undercut demand for butane as a blending component as temperatures dropped.
  • EU demand for LPG fell by nearly 15% in September to November, compared with the same three months the previous year. Stockpiles also rose during that period, according to Joint Organizations Data Initiative (JODI). However, winter demand could still spike this year -- albeit late. Tight supply was seen this week across global propane markets.
  • Forecasts of colder weather across the world in February could also spur more consumer demand (LPG being used as heating fuel). (Source: Platts news)

Domestic Prices      

LPG players implemented a price rollback, starting 01 February 2018, by P3-15 to P3.18 per kilogram (VAT inclusive) or about P35 per 11-kg cylinder.

As of 06 February 2018, household LPG in Metro Manila ranges from P535.00to P760.00 per 11-kilogram cylinder. Most retailers have already implemented the P1.12 excise tax on LPG, per R.A. 10963 or TRAIN.
 

For more information, call the Department of Energy:
Pricing: 840-2187
LPG: 840-2130
Fuels: 840-5669
SMS: (0915) 4469421
Email: [email protected]
Website: www.doe.gov.ph

 

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